Strensall Stakes Group 3 (1m 1f)
Forest Ranger should provide the pace but with several
in this field that prefer to be held up he may not get pressed for the lead,
so the gallop may not be too strong. That could be to his advantage but he
looks to have a tough task in trying to defy a 6lb penalty for winning the
Huxley Stakes at Chester in May, he should go better than last time on this
faster ground and was placed in this 2 years ago. One that may need a strong
gallop is Bangkok,
he looked a promising middle distance 3yo at the start of the season winning
over 1m 2f at Doncaster. He followed that with a classy performance in the
Classic Trial at Sandown and his best since then has been a 2nd to Japan in the
King Edward VII Stakes, where he came from last to first round the turn to the
home straight but couldn't live with the future Juddmonte winner. That is
obviously very good form but this looks on the short side today. Ryan Moore
rides Zaaki
for Sir Michael Stoute and has to carry a 3lb penalty for his eye catching win
in the Diomed Stakes at Epsom, where he came from what seemed an impossible
position at the rear to win with a fast finish, he then lost out in a desperate
finish in the Summer Mile at Ascot. Excuses for his last run over 7f and this
fast ground will be right up his street. Space
Traveller may
well be sitting behind Forest Ranger, a slow pace might make him a little keen
as he is used to the faster run 7f races. This step up looks a little too far
and is best watched today. The likely favourite is Cambridgeshire winner Wissahickon,
who has been in form at Lingfield during the early months of the year including
winning the Winter Derby. He didn't have to beat much that day but did it in
style. Comes here from a 4 month break but goes well fresh.
Selection:
Preference is for the strong finishing Zaaki. He should relish the fast ground and can show his best on a flatter track despite carrying a penalty.
Melrose Handicap Class 2 (1m 6f)
The pace should be decent
with Skymax
and Rochester
House at
the head of affairs. there should be plenty of time for them to sort themselves
out as to running order before getting to the first bend, those drawn wide are
mostly hold up horses so there shouldn't be any jostling for position early on.
Rochester
House is
a proven stayer with form over further and may have to strtch this field if he
is to defy top weight and a lot of his form has been achieved on slower ground
as has his likely companion. Eminence
ran at Goodwood, a festival that has been an influence on this race in the
past. He was 3rd in the Unibet Handicap where he travelled strongly and may
have been closer if he hadn't met a little trouble in the home straight. He met
trouble at Ascot in the King George V Stakes where he was a strong finishing
3rd. Improving throughout the season, he should have a strong chance today.
Another
who has been showing improvement over middle distance trips is Kiefer,
he looks a stayer and is on a handy mark.
Selection:
I like the look of Eminence, he should improve for the step up in trip and is a strong traveller with a turn of foot. He also has experience in some big field handicaps and should continue improving.
City Of York Stakes Group 2 (7f)
This should be a typically
run 7f on fast ground, Laurens has been hoovering Group 1 races against
her own sex but has so far failed to win in open comoany
where she looks to be cruising but is usually found wanting, this drop back in
trip might not be the answer as she is up against some experienced hirses at
this distance. One who will relish the fast ground is Sir
Dancealot winner
of back to back Lennox Stakes where he won with his customary burst of speed in
the closing stages. He has to defy a penalty but has done so before in last
Year's Hungerford and may find the field coming back to him again if, as seems
likely they go too quickly up front. Cape
Byron drops
in class after failing to feature in the July Cup. He won the Wokingham at
Royal Ascot and is proven at the trip by his Victoria Cup win prior to that. Le
Brivido has
been disappointing this season and doesn't seem to find a lot under pressure.
One who met trouble in the Lennox was Speak
In Colours and
would have got closer on what was a first attempt at this trip, whilst he has
placed on fast ground he does appear to want a little give underfoot. Shine
So Bright ran
well in the 2,000 Guineas and this drop back to 7f will suit. He has had a long
time off since Newmarket so will need to be fit to feature in this.
Selection:
This looks a strong renewal with several likely to feature, I have not been let down by Sir Dancealot (EW) in the past and with fast ground and a strong pace he should be in the mix despite the penalty.
Good luck, I'll post a piece on the Winter Hill Stakes from Windsor this evening if I have time.
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